Climate activist and founder of ''The Cli-Fi Report'' Danny Bloom speaks for 4 minutes here:
English professor and climate activist Roy Scranton published his new nonfiction book of climate essays titled ''We're Doomed. Now What?" in July 2018 and here is my personal bedside 4-minute late-at-night video reaction to his doomsday message.
I like Roy and I like his book: he is a very good writer and thinker. But in his new book of essays, I feel he goes too far in his doomsday pronouncements and his timeline for ''the shit that will hit the fan'' is much too early and premature. [IMHO.]
The bad stuff won't happen for another 500 years.
I'm not an alarmist. I'm a doomer and gloomer and Bloomer who takes the long view on all this, another 30 generations before The End, so there's time to prepare future generations (our descendants, and Roy's great great great grandchildren times 30) for what they will be facing in 500 years. Not now. His daughter's life will be normal.
Life will go on in the next 100 and 200 years just like it is today. The End is not nigh.
But it is coming, and it will come with a deathly tragic-ness. But 30 generations from now.
That's my long view, Roy.
And this video is mostly for Roy to listen to and react to. I am not trying to persuade anyone to my point of view. Each to his or her own POV.
But this is how I see things, and I have thought long and hard about all this.
That's why I created the cli-fi term for novelists and movie directors to use a literary and cinematic platform to tell their stories, whatever stories they choose to tell.
Godspeed everyone, even though there is not God, no gods, no angels, no Buddha, no recincarnation and no afterlife.
We come this way but once, and we should all try to make the most of it. I'm doing my best, too. I hope you are, too.
VIDEO LINK:
My personal 4-minute video reaction to Roy Scranton's essay collection "We're Doomed. Now What?"
https://youtu.be/GoDc2WAOICk
Roy Scranton Tweets in July 2018: "We have to shift our ethical frameworks from progress to triage."
3 comments, among others, by reviewers and friends of this blog:
Dear Dan -- ." thanks for this video, it is a sage comment... and follows Scranton well -- although I am still reading his new book ''WE'RE DOOMED. NOW WHAT?"- I just started with the last chapter. ''
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''Dear Dan,
Wonderful words about grace and dignity in your 4 minute video. I do hope you can expand this and revise it a bit and consult your sources before you take such a rosy, optimistic stance. Check the model and scenarios of six degrees of warming. Heck, even check the IPCC - Or even check http://localsteps.org/howbad.html and select the 4 degree level for a quick National Geographic video.
IMHO, The momentum of inaction is what dooms us. For 30 years, we have been tricked into denial, disavowal and delay. And yes it is possible to have a few more generations of humans, but ONLY if everyone, devotes every resource, "to do everything, all at once" (Bill Nye). And starting tomorrow morning.
And we don't need to perfect a carbon tax - we need to have that in place already. .. that's like a cancer patient deciding what brand of nicotine gum to chew. Everything, all at once.
I share your aspirations to have many more generations filled with loving children. But I really can't find a climate scientist anywhere who agrees with that. Agriculture sciences predicts by the mid 2030s that only half the global agricultural food capacity will be possible because flowering plants can't germinate in high heat. Corn already has some problems already.
Melting glaciers deliver river waters to much of Asia - much of that is drying up. Sea level rise is not going to stop short of 270 feet more. (other than triggering giant volcanoes or aiming an asteroid our way) ALL we can do is slow down the change
Really Dan, this was a good first attempt at saying something meaningful, but you need to study the science of climate change also with grace and dignity.''
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3 comments:
''Dear Dan,
Wonderful words about grace and dignity in your 4 minute video. I do hope you can expand this and revise it a bit and consult your sources before you take such a rosy, optimistic stance. Check the model and scenarios of six degrees of warming. Heck, even check the IPCC - Or even check http://localsteps.org/howbad.html and select the 4 degree level for a quick National Geographic video.
IMHO, The momentum of inaction is what dooms us. For 30 years, we have been tricked into denial, disavowal and delay. And yes it is possible to have a few more generations of humans, but ONLY if everyone, devotes every resource, "to do everything, all at once" (Bill Nye). And starting tomorrow morning.
And we don't need to perfect a carbon tax - we need to have that in place already. .. that's like a cancer patient deciding what brand of nicotine gum to chew. Everything, all at once.
I share your aspirations to have many more generations filled with loving children. But I really can't find a climate scientist anywhere who agrees with that. Agriculture sciences predicts by the mid 2030s that only half the global agricultural food capacity will be possible because flowering plants can't germinate in high heat. Corn already has some problems already.
Melting glaciers deliver river waters to much of Asia - much of that is drying up. Sea level rise is not going to stop short of 270 feet more. (other than triggering giant volcanoes or aiming an asteroid our way) ALL we can do is slow down the change
Really Dan, this was a good first attempt at saying something meaningful, but you need to study the science of climate change also with grace and dignity.''
How bad can it be? ...and when?
The chart below has linked hotspots. In the lower right corner of the chart notice the temperature line for the current year. There are seven future projections plotted.
The graphic IPCC Chart uses data from special report emissions scenario for the IPCC. Links below in blue are summarized projections for each degree change taken from the book "Six Degrees, Our Future on a Hotter Planet" - Mark Lynas and videos segments from National Geographics.
For an excellent video introduction to the global warming problem see the National Geographic video of Global Warming 101
celcius to F
The composite chart shows past temperature changes and projected changes to the year 2100. The temperature scale counts upward from the year 2000 - which represents 0 degrees of change. The red line is the average temperature before the year 2000. Where the red line splits, these are the future projections, and each model scenario is a different color. The vertical color lines on the right represent the temperature range for each of these models. Note that all scientists agree that we will see increases of at least 1 degree Centigrade. The blue text on the left side describes some events for each temperature level.
Just what is the IPCC? All countries are members of the IPCC. The goal is to assess science of climate change, the Union of Concerned Scientist describes their reports.
The emission scenarios mentioned above are nicely discussed at http://www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/greenhouse/emission_scenario.html
Another display of the same data - future predictions vs degrees of warming.
Current early warnings signs available at http://www.climatehotmap.org/
Dear Dan -- ." thanks for this video, it is a sage comment... and follows Roy Scranton well -- although I am still reading his new book ''WE'RE DOOMED. NOW WHAT?"- I just started with the last chapter. ''
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